Guangdong Mingtuvs
Dalian Yingbo B
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/6/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Guangdong Mingtu 0-0 Dalian Yingbo B, with an exact score probability of 34%.
Prediction record
Final result
Guangdong Mingtu 1-1 Dalian Yingbo B
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.3% | 36.6% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.82 | 31.9% | 34.6% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 3.36 | 26.8% | 28.8% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.82 · Draw 1.82 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Projected Score
Guangdong Mingtu 0–0 Dalian Yingbo B
Exact score probability: 34%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Guangdong MingtuDWLWD
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Dalian Yingbo BWLLWD
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Guangdong MingtuDalian Yingbo B
31.9Attack30.6
72.2Defence68.1
41.7Form43.1
50.5Power49.9
0.66xG0.46