Guangdong Mingtuvs
Changchun Xidu
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/25/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guangdong Mingtu · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Guangdong Mingtu 0-0 Changchun Xidu, with an exact score probability of 30%.
Prediction record
Final result
Guangdong Mingtu 0-0 Changchun Xidu
Original prediction
Guangdong Mingtu
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 19:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 46.0% | 40.8% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.92 | 30.9% | 33.3% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.90 | 23.1% | 26.0% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.92 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.2 pts
Projected Score
Guangdong Mingtu 0–0 Changchun Xidu
Exact score probability: 30%
Predicted outcome
Guangdong Mingtu
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Guangdong Mingtu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60