GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/3/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Espanola · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gualberto Villarroel SJ are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Union Espanola are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Espanola hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (33.2 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Union Espanola holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Espanola

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

44.5%

Union Espanola has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gualberto Villarroel SJWWLWD

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Union EspanolaLDWDL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Gualberto Villarroel SJUnion Espanola
28.6Attack38.1
28.6Defence57.1
33.3Form28.6
33.2Power41.5
0.91xG1.40
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