GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/23/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Once Caldas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Gualberto Villarroel SJ are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Once Caldas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Once Caldas hold a 37.4-point power-rating edge (33.2 v 70.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Once Caldas holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Once Caldas

Probability

73.7%

Model confidence

73.7%

Once Caldas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gualberto Villarroel SJLLLWD

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Once CaldasLWDWW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Gualberto Villarroel SJOnce Caldas
28.6Attack56.4
28.6Defence76.9
33.3Form76.9
33.2Power70.7
0.47xG2.18
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