Gualberto Villarroel SJvs
Nacional Potosí
COMPLETEDBolivia · Primera División · 9/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nacional Potosí · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gualberto Villarroel SJ 0-3 Nacional Potosí
Original prediction
Nacional Potosí
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 36.4% | 28.1% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.1% | 25.5% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.43 | 37.6% | 46.5% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Nacional Potosí
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Nacional Potosí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80