Gualberto Villarroel SJvs
Guabirá
COMPLETEDBolivia · Primera División · 10/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guabirá · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gualberto Villarroel SJ 4-1 Guabirá
Original prediction
Guabirá
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 53.1% | 35.6% | -17.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 23.8% | 22.7% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.95 | 23.1% | 41.7% | 18.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Guabirá
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Guabirá has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60