GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/9/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fluminense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Gualberto Villarroel SJ are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Fluminense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fluminense hold a 34.2-point power-rating edge (33.2 v 67.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fluminense holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fluminense

Probability

70.9%

Model confidence

70.9%

Fluminense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gualberto Villarroel SJLDLLL

GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FluminenseWWLDD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Gualberto Villarroel SJFluminense
28.6Attack53.3
28.6Defence83.3
33.3Form66.7
33.2Power67.4
0.47xG2.03
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