Gualberto Villarroel SJvs
Bolívar
COMPLETEDBolivia · Copa de la División Profesional · 9/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bolívar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gualberto Villarroel SJ 0-1 Bolívar
Original prediction
Bolívar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.48 | 20.2% | 21.6% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 21.9% | 22.4% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 1.56 | 57.9% | 55.9% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Bolívar
Probability
55.9%
Model confidence
55.9%
Bolívar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 17 · GA 9 · avg 3.40/1.80