GGOALVIO

Bolivia · Primera División · 10/24/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Blooming · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2-1 Blooming

Original prediction

Blooming

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 04:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 3.50+
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7652.3%30.1%-22.2 pts
Draw3.6924.9%25.5%0.6 pts
Away4.0522.8%44.4%21.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

21.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–113%
  2. 2.1–113%
  3. 3.0–211%

Predicted outcome

Blooming

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

44.4%

Blooming has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gualberto Villarroel SJLWLWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BloomingDLDLL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Gualberto Villarroel SJBlooming
37.9Attack45.5
40.9Defence65.2
25.8Form42.4
37.2Power50.9
0.82xG1.55
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