Gualberto Villarroel SJvs
Blooming
COMPLETEDBolivia · Copa de la División Profesional · 10/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gualberto Villarroel SJ · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gualberto Villarroel SJ 3-2 Blooming
Original prediction
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 48.3% | 45.8% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.8% | 23.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.25 | 27.9% | 31.1% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Gualberto Villarroel SJ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80