GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 3/18/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orense SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gualaceo SC are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LWDL), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Orense SC are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Orense SC hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (35.5 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Liga Pro, while Orense SC holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Orense SC

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

41.5%

Orense SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gualaceo SCLWDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.25/1.50

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Orense SCWD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Gualaceo SCOrense SC
28.9Attack38.9
41.1Defence50.0
27.8Form37.5
35.5Power44.5
0.90xG1.28
View match centre →