Gualaceo SCvsIndependiente del Valle

COMPLETED

Ecuador · Copa Ecuador · 9/25/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gualaceo SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Gualaceo SC 0-0 Independiente del Valle, with an exact score probability of 16%.

Prediction record

Final result

Gualaceo SC 0-2 Independiente del Valle

Original prediction

Gualaceo SC

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	1.18	77.2%	50.6%	-26.6 pts
Draw	6.17	14.8%	26.6%	11.8 pts
Away	11.48	8.0%	22.8%	14.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-26.6 pts

Projected Score

Gualaceo SC 0–0 Independiente del Valle

Exact score probability: 16%

Predicted outcome

Gualaceo SC

Probability

50.6%

Model confidence

50.6%

Gualaceo SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gualaceo SCWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5

Independiente del ValleWDLLD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5

Gualaceo SCIndependiente del Valle

33.3Attack0.0

72.2Defence66.7

55.6Form0.0

56.8Power23.7

1.17xG0.72

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More fixtures in this league

LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica

28 Oct 2026, 21:00

Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC

28 Oct 2026, 21:00