Gualaceo SCvs
El Nacional
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 8/29/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gualaceo SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gualaceo SC 0-0 El Nacional, with an exact score probability of 30%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gualaceo SC 3-0 El Nacional
Original prediction
Gualaceo SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 58.9% | 56.4% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.4% | 31.1% | 5.7 pts |
| Away | 5.73 | 15.7% | 12.5% | -3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Projected Score
Gualaceo SC 0–0 El Nacional
Exact score probability: 30%
Predicted outcome
Gualaceo SC
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
56.4%
Gualaceo SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Gualaceo SCWDLLD
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
El NacionalDLWWD
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Gualaceo SCEl Nacional
28.8Attack22.7
75.8Defence51.5
43.9Form18.2
51.4Power33.6
0.95xG0.29