Gualaceo SCvs
El Nacional
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 5/2/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Gualaceo SC are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while El Nacional are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gualaceo SC hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 33.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Liga Pro Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40