GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 10/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gualaceo SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Gualaceo SC 0-0 Cumbayá, with an exact score probability of 27%.

Prediction record

Final result

Gualaceo SC 1-1 Cumbayá

Original prediction

Gualaceo SC

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 13:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0743.3%44.0%0.7 pts
Draw2.9330.5%33.7%3.2 pts
Away3.4226.1%22.3%-3.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.93 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.7 pts

Projected Score

Gualaceo SC 0–0 Cumbayá

Exact score probability: 27%

Predicted outcome

Gualaceo SC

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

Gualaceo SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gualaceo SCWWLDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
CumbayáLWWLL

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Gualaceo SCCumbayá
36.9Attack39.3
78.6Defence65.5
53.6Form39.3
57.7Power48.0
0.84xG0.49
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