GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 2/26/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Barcelona SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Gualaceo SC are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Barcelona SC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Barcelona SC hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (35.5 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the Liga Pro, while Barcelona SC holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Barcelona SC

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

Barcelona SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gualaceo SCDL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Barcelona SCLLWWW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Gualaceo SCBarcelona SC
28.9Attack33.3
41.1Defence73.3
27.8Form48.0
35.5Power53.6
0.47xG1.13
View match centre →