Guairena FCvs
Sportivo Carapeguá
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 10/23/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sportivo Carapeguá · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Guairena FC 0-0 Sportivo Carapeguá, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Guairena FC 0-0 Sportivo Carapeguá
Original prediction
Sportivo Carapeguá
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 23 October 2026 at 06:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 36.0% | 32.6% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 26.9% | 30.5% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 37.1% | 36.9% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.33 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Projected Score
Guairena FC 0–0 Sportivo Carapeguá
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Sportivo Carapeguá
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Sportivo Carapeguá has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00