Guairena FCvsFernando De La Mora

COMPLETED

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 9/28/2026, 10:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Guairena FC 0-0 Fernando De La Mora, with an exact score probability of 18%.

Final result

Guairena FC 0-2 Fernando De La Mora

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	2.79	31.9%	33.0%	1.1 pts
Draw	3.04	29.3%	31.5%	2.2 pts
Away	2.29	38.9%	35.6%	-3.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.2 pts

Projected Score

Guairena FC 0–0 Fernando De La Mora

Exact score probability: 18%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

31.5%

Model confidence

35.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Guairena FCLDLLL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5

Fernando De La MoraDWLWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5

Guairena FCFernando De La Mora

29.3Attack37.3

56.0Defence53.3

33.3Form41.3

41.7Power47.0

0.86xG0.91