Guairena FCvs
Encarnación
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Guairena FC 0-0 Encarnación, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Guairena FC 1-0 Encarnación
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 43.1% | 36.8% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.5% | 31.9% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 3.16 | 28.3% | 31.3% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Projected Score
Guairena FC 0–0 Encarnación
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.9%
Model confidence
36.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Guairena FCLLLDL
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
EncarnaciónLLWLD
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Guairena FCEncarnación
27.2Attack30.9
55.6Defence51.9
30.9Form27.2
40.1Power38.8
0.84xG0.75