GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Copa Paraguay · 8/27/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guairena FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Guairena FC 3-2 12 de Octubre

Original prediction

Guairena FC

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9746.0%47.0%1.0 pts
Draw3.1728.6%27.0%-1.6 pts
Away3.5825.4%26.0%0.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–010%

Predicted outcome

Guairena FC

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

47.0%

Guairena FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guairena FCDLLDD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
12 de OctubreLWWWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Guairena FC12 de Octubre
50.0Attack0.0
66.7Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
54.2Power7.0
1.91xG1.04
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