Guadeloupevs
Barbados
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Nations League · 9/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guadeloupe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-0 (11%), 3-0 (11%), 4-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Guadeloupe 2-2 Barbados
Original prediction
Guadeloupe
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 40.8% | 66.2% | 25.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 29.0% | 17.8% | -11.3 pts |
| Away | 3.02 | 30.1% | 16.0% | -14.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.14 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
25.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–011%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.4–19%
Predicted outcome
Guadeloupe
Probability
66.2%
Model confidence
66.2%
Guadeloupe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80