GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/17/2023, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guadalupe FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Guadalupe FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Santa Ana are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Guadalupe FC holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guadalupe FC

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

37.8%

Guadalupe FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guadalupe FCWDWLD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Santa AnaWDDDL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Guadalupe FCSanta Ana
66.7Attack33.3
50.0Defence100.0
66.7Form100.0
64.8Power80.3
1.52xG1.38
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