GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 2/9/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Limón Black Star · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Guadalupe FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Limón Black Star are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Guadalupe FC hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Limón Black Star holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Limón Black Star

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Limón Black Star has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guadalupe FCLDLLD

GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Limón Black StarLLLWW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Guadalupe FCLimón Black Star
66.7Attack53.9
50.0Defence64.7
66.7Form57.8
64.8Power59.1
1.23xG1.44
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