GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 3/20/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Limón Black Star · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Guadalupe FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Limón Black Star are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Guadalupe FC hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Limón Black Star holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Limón Black Star

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Limón Black Star has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guadalupe FCWWWLW

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Limón Black StarWWWWD

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Guadalupe FCLimón Black Star
66.7Attack53.9
50.0Defence64.7
66.7Form57.8
64.8Power59.1
1.23xG1.44
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