GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/13/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Escorpiones Belén · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Guadalupe FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Escorpiones Belén are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Guadalupe FC hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Escorpiones Belén holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Escorpiones Belén

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

38.2%

Escorpiones Belén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guadalupe FCWWDDL

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Escorpiones BelénWWLDW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Guadalupe FCEscorpiones Belén
66.7Attack76.7
50.0Defence42.5
66.7Form58.3
64.8Power58.9
2.00xG2.05
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