GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 2/25/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Escorpiones Belén · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Guadalupe FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Escorpiones Belén are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Guadalupe FC hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Escorpiones Belén holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Escorpiones Belén

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

38.2%

Escorpiones Belén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guadalupe FCWLWWW

GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Escorpiones BelénWWLWL

GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Guadalupe FCEscorpiones Belén
66.7Attack76.7
50.0Defence42.5
66.7Form58.3
64.8Power58.9
2.00xG2.05
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