GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 3/31/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guadalupe FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Guadalupe FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while CS Uruguay are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Guadalupe FC hold a 28.3-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Guadalupe FC holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guadalupe FC

Probability

50.4%

Model confidence

50.4%

Guadalupe FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guadalupe FCDLWWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CS UruguayDLLWL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Guadalupe FCCS Uruguay
66.7Attack33.3
50.0Defence50.0
66.7Form16.7
64.8Power36.5
1.86xG1.15
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