GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/2/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guadalupe FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Guadalupe FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while CS Uruguay are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Guadalupe FC hold a 28.3-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Guadalupe FC holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guadalupe FC

Probability

50.4%

Model confidence

50.4%

Guadalupe FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guadalupe FCLDWDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
CS UruguayLWDDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Guadalupe FCCS Uruguay
66.7Attack33.3
50.0Defence50.0
66.7Form16.7
64.8Power36.5
1.86xG1.15
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