GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 4/13/2025, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guadalupe FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Guadalupe FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Aserri FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Guadalupe FC hold a 38.2-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.5% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Guadalupe FC holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guadalupe FC

Probability

49.5%

Model confidence

49.5%

Guadalupe FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guadalupe FCWWLDW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Aserri FCLWLWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Guadalupe FCAserri FC
66.7Attack0.0
50.0Defence66.7
66.7Form0.0
64.8Power26.7
1.77xG1.09
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