GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 11/29/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guadalupe FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Guadalupe FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while AD Sarchí are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Guadalupe FC holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guadalupe FC

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Guadalupe FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guadalupe FCWDWLL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AD SarchíLLLDW

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Guadalupe FCAD Sarchí
66.7Attack66.7
50.0Defence66.7
66.7Form100.0
64.8Power80.3
1.54xG1.47
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