GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 1/22/2024, 12:06:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guadalajara W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Guadalajara W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Toluca W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (90.7 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Guadalajara W holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guadalajara W

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

40.8%

Guadalajara W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guadalajara WWLWLD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Toluca WDDWLL

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Guadalajara WToluca W
100.0Attack100.0
66.7Defence83.3
100.0Form100.0
90.7Power94.8
1.91xG1.69
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