Guadalajara Wvs
Pumas UNAM W
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX Femenil · 8/30/2026, 11:06:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guadalajara W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Guadalajara W 0-2 Pumas UNAM W
Original prediction
Guadalajara W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.6% | 52.4% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.0% | 22.1% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 4.03 | 22.4% | 25.5% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Guadalajara W
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
52.4%
Guadalajara W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00