Guadalajara Wvs
Necaxa W
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX Femenil · 10/21/2026, 3:07:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guadalajara W · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Guadalajara W 4-0 Necaxa W, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Guadalajara W 7-0 Necaxa W
Original prediction
Guadalajara W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.02 | 92.7% | 93.8% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 17.61 | 5.4% | 4.6% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 48.09 | 2.0% | 1.5% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Projected Score
Guadalajara W 4–0 Necaxa W
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Guadalajara W
Probability
93.8%
Model confidence
93.8%
Guadalajara W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 0 · GA 19 · avg 0.00/3.80