Guadalajara Wvs
Monterrey W
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX Femenil · 9/12/2026, 11:07:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monterrey W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Guadalajara W 2-3 Monterrey W
Original prediction
Monterrey W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.83 | 32.0% | 36.7% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.7% | 23.1% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 41.3% | 40.2% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–28%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Monterrey W
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Monterrey W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 18 · GA 6 · avg 3.60/1.20