GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 8/18/2023, 3:10:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guadalajara W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Guadalajara W are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Monterrey W are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Guadalajara W hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (90.7 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Guadalajara W holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guadalajara W

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

Guadalajara W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guadalajara WWDWWD

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Monterrey WWWWWD

GF 16 · GA 1 · avg 3.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Guadalajara WMonterrey W
100.0Attack83.3
66.7Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
90.7Power86.5
1.98xG1.63
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