GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 10/13/2023, 1:06:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guadalajara W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Guadalajara W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while León W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Guadalajara W hold a 31.3-point power-rating edge (90.7 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.5% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Guadalajara W holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guadalajara W

Probability

54.5%

Model confidence

54.5%

Guadalajara W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guadalajara WWWLWW

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
León WLLWWL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Guadalajara WLeón W
100.0Attack100.0
66.7Defence33.3
100.0Form50.0
90.7Power59.3
2.46xG1.51
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