Guadalajara Wvs
Juárez W
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX Femenil · 10/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guadalajara W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Guadalajara W 1-0 Juárez W
Original prediction
Guadalajara W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 42.3% | 42.7% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.3% | 25.7% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 3.20 | 28.4% | 31.6% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Guadalajara W
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Guadalajara W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20