Guadalajaravs
Salamanca UDS
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 9/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guadalajara · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Guadalajara 2-3 Salamanca UDS
Original prediction
Guadalajara
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 37.0% | 37.9% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.2% | 28.3% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.53 | 35.8% | 33.7% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Guadalajara
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Guadalajara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20