Guadalajaravs
Gimnástica Segoviana
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 10/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guadalajara · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Guadalajara 0-0 Gimnástica Segoviana, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Guadalajara 3-3 Gimnástica Segoviana
Original prediction
Guadalajara
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 48.3% | 37.1% | -11.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.7% | 30.9% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 3.79 | 24.0% | 32.0% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.28 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.3 pts
Projected Score
Guadalajara 0–0 Gimnástica Segoviana
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Guadalajara
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Guadalajara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60