GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX · 8/22/2026, 11:07:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Club Tijuana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Guadalajara Chivas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Club Tijuana are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and club Tijuana hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Liga MX, favouring Club Tijuana with 14.5% confidence, a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Club Tijuana

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

14.5%

Club Tijuana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guadalajara ChivasLDDWL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Club TijuanaLLDWW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Guadalajara ChivasClub Tijuana
22.2Attack44.4
66.7Defence88.9
44.4Form77.8
47.5Power72.8
1.07xG1.25
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