Guadalajara Chivasvs
Club Tijuana
SCHEDULEDMexico · Liga MX · 8/22/2026, 11:07:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Tijuana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Guadalajara Chivas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Club Tijuana are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and club Tijuana hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Liga MX, favouring Club Tijuana with 14.5% confidence, a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Club Tijuana
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
14.5%
Club Tijuana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80