Guadalajara Chivasvs
Club Queretaro
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 9/26/2026, 11:07:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guadalajara Chivas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Guadalajara Chivas 0-2 Club Queretaro
Original prediction
Guadalajara Chivas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 06:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 60.1% | 54.9% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.19 | 22.2% | 24.7% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 5.28 | 17.6% | 20.4% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Guadalajara Chivas
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Guadalajara Chivas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80