Guadalajara Chivas U21vs
UNAM Pumas U21
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 9/13/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guadalajara Chivas U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Guadalajara Chivas U21 1-0 UNAM Pumas U21, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Guadalajara Chivas U21 0-0 UNAM Pumas U21
Original prediction
Guadalajara Chivas U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 45.4% | 47.8% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.6% | 27.8% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.39 | 27.0% | 24.5% | -2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.31 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Projected Score
Guadalajara Chivas U21 1–0 UNAM Pumas U21
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Guadalajara Chivas U21
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Guadalajara Chivas U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20