Guadalajara Chivas U21vs
Toluca U21
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 7/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Guadalajara Chivas U21 are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Toluca U21 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca U21 hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 66.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Liga MX U21, while Toluca U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toluca U21
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Toluca U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40