Guadalajara Chivas U21vs
Queretaro U21
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 9/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guadalajara Chivas U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Guadalajara Chivas U21 1-0 Queretaro U21, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Guadalajara Chivas U21 2-4 Queretaro U21
Original prediction
Guadalajara Chivas U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 02:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 59.5% | 64.8% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.5% | 21.9% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 5.27 | 17.0% | 13.3% | -3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Projected Score
Guadalajara Chivas U21 1–0 Queretaro U21
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Guadalajara Chivas U21
Probability
64.8%
Model confidence
64.8%
Guadalajara Chivas U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20