Guadalajara Chivas U21vs
Juarez U21
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 10/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guadalajara Chivas U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Guadalajara Chivas U21 0-0 Juarez U21, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Guadalajara Chivas U21 1-0 Juarez U21
Original prediction
Guadalajara Chivas U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 21:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 47.5% | 47.7% | 0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 28.9% | 29.6% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.82 | 23.6% | 22.7% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.89 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.2 pts
Projected Score
Guadalajara Chivas U21 0–0 Juarez U21
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Guadalajara Chivas U21
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Guadalajara Chivas U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20