Guabirávs
Real Potosí
COMPLETEDBolivia · Primera División · 9/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Potosí · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Guabirá 1-1 Real Potosí
Original prediction
Real Potosí
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.9% | 32.4% | -21.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 23.6% | 24.5% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.05 | 22.5% | 43.2% | 20.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.86 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Real Potosí
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Real Potosí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80