GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/7/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guabirá · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Guabirá are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DWLL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Oriente Petrolero are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Guabirá hold a 28.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 16.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Guabirá holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guabirá

Probability

63.0%

Model confidence

63.0%

Guabirá has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GuabiráDWLL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/1.00

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
Oriente PetroleroLLWDW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
GuabiráOriente Petrolero
0.0Attack14.3
100.0Defence4.8
33.3Form14.3
45.3Power16.6
1.89xG0.65
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