Guabirávs
Oriente Petrolero
COMPLETEDBolivia · Copa de la División Profesional · 10/4/2026, 9:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oriente Petrolero · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Guabirá 2-1 Oriente Petrolero
Original prediction
Oriente Petrolero
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 47.0% | 31.4% | -15.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.3% | 24.5% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.28 | 27.7% | 44.0% | 16.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Oriente Petrolero
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Oriente Petrolero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40