Guabirávs
Oriente Petrolero
COMPLETEDBolivia · Primera División · 10/18/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oriente Petrolero · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Guabirá 1-1 Oriente Petrolero
Original prediction
Oriente Petrolero
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 41.4% | 28.2% | -13.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.4% | 20.3% | -5.1 pts |
| Away | 2.76 | 33.1% | 51.4% | 18.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.59 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Oriente Petrolero
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
Oriente Petrolero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20