Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Blooming · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Guabirá are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Blooming are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and blooming hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Primera División, favouring Blooming with 13.2% confidence, a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Blooming
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
13.2%
Blooming has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00